Will AI replace me? Taub Center economists investigate effects on employment, joblessness - The Jerusalem Post

Well, well, well. The Taub Center for Social Policy Studies has crunched the numbers for Israel, and the verdict is: yes, AI might indeed replace you — just not all at once. Their study finds a 'significant rise' in the share of unemployed coming from occupations at high risk of displacement, with AI already accounting for between two and six percent of the occupational shift. That's not quite the robot apocalypse, but it's a start — like the first inch of a slow-motion car crash.

Of course, the report is characteristically cautious: it's only 'between two percent and six percent,' so there's still plenty of room for things to get worse before they get better. And let's not forget, those 'occupations at high risk' are precisely the ones we were told would be safe: the white-collar, knowledge-worker jobs that were meant to be immune while the robots took the warehouses. Joke's on us — turns out the programmers were just middle management waiting to happen.

The silver lining? The study gives policymakers a number to point at — a neat, precise expression of our creeping irrelevance. Two percent here, six percent there, and before you know it, we're all competing for the last human job: 'commentator on AI-created content.' The Taub Center has done us the courtesy of measuring the rope. Now we just wait for the floor to drop.