Job-finding rates have fallen the most for America's most reliably-employed workers

The analysis finds that roles more exposed to AI have experienced the biggest drops in job-finding rates. It defines AI exposure as the overlap between a job's tasks and capabilities listed in AI patents. The article says this complicates the picture for America's most reliably-employed workers.

According to the report, these workers are seeing their job-finding rates fall more than comparable workers. The article does not disclose the specific numerical size of the declines. It presents the finding as a change from the usual pattern for this group, who have historically been considered reliable in finding new roles quickly. The patent-based definition of AI exposure is central to the analysis. The article characterises the drop as the most pronounced among the roles analysed.

The report connects the findings to broader questions about how AI adoption is affecting employment. It notes that the roles with the largest drops are those with the most overlap with AI patent capabilities, using patent data as a proxy for AI capabilities in the workplace. The article's headline emphasises that the most reliably-employed workers are now experiencing the greatest difficulty. This follows a separate earlier report covered in this newsletter, which discussed AI being cited as a reason for layoffs in software engineering prior coverage.